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If you missed my two part series on enterprise value in venture, here are the 10 essentials

  • Mar 4
  • 1 min read

šŸ”¹1Ā EV in venture isn’t observable - it’s inferred. There’s no market clearing price. Fair value reflects what a market participantĀ wouldĀ pay. šŸ”¹2Ā Traditional valuation assumes fundamentals. Early stage companies rarely have revenue, margins, comps, or liquidity to anchor value. šŸ”¹3Ā You’re pricingĀ futureĀ enterprise value. It's aboutĀ futureĀ upside, not current performance. šŸ”¹4Ā Venture investments behave like options. Downside is capped; upside comes from low probability, high magnitude outcomes. šŸ”¹5Ā Liquidity timing shapes value. Enterprise value is pathdependent. Time to the next financing or exit is part of the risk. šŸ”¹6Ā Retiring risk is creating value. Technical validation,Ā Product market fitĀ signals, financing visibility, and credible exits all compress uncertainty. šŸ”¹7Ā ā€œFeels worth moreā€ isn’t a valuation thesis. Confidence must map to a measurable shift in expected outcomes. šŸ”¹8Ā Calibration is the discipline.Start with the last transaction and assess what’s changed in information, risk, or market conditions. šŸ”¹9Ā Think like a market participant. If the company raised today, wouldĀ sophisticatedĀ investors price it differently and why šŸ”¹10Ā Governance makes judgment defensible. Consistency, documentation, and clarity on risk evolution matter more than models alone. Early stage EV isn’t missing, it’s embedded in a shifting distribution of outcomes. The work is showing, rigorously, how that distribution has moved since the last measurement date. This is exactly why we built The Platform for VC Cap Tables and Valuation Clarity.

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